Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.