Portsmouth

2 - 0

Crewe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.