League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 18, 2021 at 3pm UK

Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 3
Wigan

Williams (33'), Taylor (59')
Taylor (36'), McGuane (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Keane (8'), Power (32'), McClean (86')
Darikwa (30'), Power (36'), Naylor (44'), Whatmough (72'), McClean (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Wigan Athletic

Wigan do not depend on one player to win, and although the loss of Cousins will be felt, there is still plenty of quality personnel on this team that can get the job done. Oxford have been splendid at home this season, however, their depth and consistency is not as good as Wigan's, so we expect to see a determined Latics side, who know that this is their chance to take over the top spot with a game in hand on Rotherham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Wigan Athletic
39.9%	26.51%	33.59%

Both teams to score 52.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36%

52.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.72%

74.28%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11%

25.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12%

60.88%

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39%

29.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36%

65.64%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 39.89%

Wigan Athletic 33.59%

Draw 26.5%

Oxford United	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.89%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.59%