Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.