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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 13.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
66.64% | 20.14% | 13.22% |
Both teams to score 46.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% | 47.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.37% | 69.63% |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.67% | 13.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.82% | 40.17% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.45% | 46.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.86% | 82.14% |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-0 @ 12.59% 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 6.47% 4-0 @ 4.27% 4-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.48% 5-0 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.68% Total : 66.62% | 1-1 @ 9.56% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.14% | 0-1 @ 4.74% 1-2 @ 3.66% 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 0.94% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.14% Total : 13.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |