League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Raggett (33'), Jacobs (41')
Raggett (5'), Curtis (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ahadme (50')
Mancienne (18'), Powell (29'), Taylor (47'), Chapman (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Burton Albion

Despite losing on Saturday, Portsmouth can be pleased with their battling performance, but we think that they will fall short on Tuesday when they face a Burton side who have been successful on the road in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Burton Albion
50.94%	25.4%	23.66%

Both teams to score 49.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6%

53.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07%

74.93%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.02%

20.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.26%

53.74%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.35%

37.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.57%

74.43%

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 50.94%

Burton Albion 23.66%

Draw 25.39%

Portsmouth	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 12.33% 2-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.46% Total : 50.94%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.66%