Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.