Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.