Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.