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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Mansfield Town

Rotherham
3 - 3
Mansfield

Wilks (17', 66'), Nombe (36')
Douglas (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Maris (8'), Flint (77'), Bowery (87')
Cargill (24'), Reed (27'), Oshilaja (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 3-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 2-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield Town have endured a miserable run of results in recent weeks, and given Rotherham's recent upturn in form, we believe the hosts will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMansfield Town
37.33% (0.84 0.84) 25.52% (0.291 0.29) 37.15% (-1.137 -1.14)
Both teams to score 55.91% (-1.002 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.97% (-1.295 -1.3)48.03% (1.291 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.8% (-1.202 -1.2)70.19% (1.197 1.2)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)25.17% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)59.9% (0.176 0.18)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-1.207 -1.21)25.27% (1.204 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-1.687 -1.69)60.03% (1.682 1.68)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.33%
    Mansfield Town 37.15%
    Draw 25.52%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.429 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.275 0.27)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.165 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.212 -0.21)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 37.15%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Mansfield

Rotherham United
Draw
Mansfield Town
Rotherham United
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Mansfield Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Mansfield
1-0
Rotherham
Oshilaja (27')
Lewis (59')
Aug 20, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Rotherham
2-0
Mansfield
Hugill (3', 54')
Bramall (52'), James (73')
MacDonald (69')

McLaughlin (45+1'), MacDonald (90+2')
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Mansfield
2-4
Rotherham
Quinn (4'), Oates (41')
Kilgour (31')
Trialist (1'), Kelly (26', 54', 57')
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Mansfield
1-1
Rotherham
Oates (86')
Kayode (60')
Jul 28, 2018 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Mansfield
2-1
Rotherham
Davies (9' pen.), Walker (41')
Raggett (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage441510194048-855
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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