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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%).
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
33.05% ( -1.4) | 26.89% ( 0.67) | 40.06% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 50.85% ( -2.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% ( -2.98) | 54.26% ( 2.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% ( -2.55) | 75.66% ( 2.54) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% ( -2.37) | 30.77% ( 2.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.96% ( -2.89) | 67.03% ( 2.88) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% ( -0.98) | 26.55% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% ( -1.32) | 61.76% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.29) Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.43) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |