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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bolton logo

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Bolton

Sweeney (53')
McKiernan (29'), Armer (42'), Lofthouse (59'), Bennett (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morley (22'), Sheehan (60')
Sheehan (47'), Murphy (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Both sides have been in improved form in recent weeks and will be motivated by ambitions that are within reach this weekend. However, with so much at stake, and Bolton's mixed form on the road, this match could end in a stalemate after a hard-fought 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
28.33% (0.586 0.59) 27.1% (0.161 0.16) 44.57% (-0.744 -0.74)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (-0.296 -0.3)56.68% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (-0.24 -0.24)77.64% (0.241 0.24)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (0.30800000000001 0.31)35.45% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (0.319 0.32)72.21% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.69% (-0.502 -0.5)25.31% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.92% (-0.695 -0.7)60.08% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 28.33%
    Bolton Wanderers 44.56%
    Draw 27.1%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.182 0.18)
2-1 @ 6.63% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.83% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 12.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.88% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 44.56%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bolton

Burton Albion
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
85.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bolton
2-1
Burton Albion
Collins (61'), Williams (63')
Johnston (47'), Williams (85')
Orsi (66')
Bennett (24'), Whitfield (86'), Sweeney (90+1')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Bolton
1-0
Burton Albion
Moon (51' og.)
Morley (86')

Baah (57'), Gilligan (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Helm (46')
Harper (15'), Oshilaja (56'), Crocombe (57'), Caprice (74'), Moon (84'), Carayol (87')
Charles (58')
Maghoma (20'), Thomason (44')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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