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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Stevenage
1 - 0
Wrexham

Thompson (10')
Butler (27'), Roberts (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (39'), Cannon (68'), O'Connell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 0-1 Wrexham

Early into the new campaign, Wrexham have proven they have a lot more attacking depth outside of Mullin, and we believe they will be able to overcome a stubborn Stevenage side who are not particularly dangerous going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
StevenageDrawWrexham
45.57% (-4.228 -4.23) 26.16% (1.951 1.95) 28.27% (2.278 2.28)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-4.352 -4.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-6.554 -6.55)53.14% (6.553 6.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-5.854 -5.85)74.71% (5.855 5.86)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (-4.505 -4.51)23.26% (4.505 4.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (-7.037 -7.04)57.18% (7.037 7.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-1.676 -1.68)33.61% (1.676 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (-1.872 -1.87)70.26% (1.872 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 45.57%
    Wrexham 28.27%
    Draw 26.16%
StevenageDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 11.4% (1.38 1.38)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.935 -0.94)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.638 -0.64)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.647 -0.65)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.628 -0.63)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.484 -0.48)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.99 0.99)
0-0 @ 7.82% (1.829 1.83)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.523 -0.52)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.53% (1.688 1.69)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.745 0.75)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Wrexham

Stevenage
15.6%
Draw
11.1%
Wrexham
73.3%
45
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham9711179822
2Wrexham106221881020
3Mansfield TownMansfield96211711620
4Lincoln CityLincoln9531158718
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe95221713417
6Stockport CountyStockport9441137616
7Exeter CityExeter9513106416
8Charlton AthleticCharlton10514109116
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
10Blackpool104331716115
11Barnsley104331515015
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough114341921-215
13Stevenage1042487114
14Bolton WanderersBolton94231515014
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham113531214-214
16Wigan AthleticWigan1034395413
17Reading94141314-113
18Bristol Rovers104151316-313
19Leyton Orient102261014-48
20Northampton TownNorthampton92251117-68
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury112271320-78
22Crawley TownCrawley10217818-107
23Burton Albion90451019-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge9018617-111


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