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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Stevenage
1 - 0
Wrexham

Thompson (10')
Butler (27'), Roberts (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (39'), Cannon (68'), O'Connell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 0-1 Wrexham

Early into the new campaign, Wrexham have proven they have a lot more attacking depth outside of Mullin, and we believe they will be able to overcome a stubborn Stevenage side who are not particularly dangerous going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
StevenageDrawWrexham
45.57% (-4.228 -4.23) 26.16% (1.951 1.95) 28.27% (2.278 2.28)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-4.352 -4.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-6.554 -6.55)53.14% (6.553 6.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-5.854 -5.85)74.71% (5.855 5.86)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (-4.505 -4.51)23.26% (4.505 4.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (-7.037 -7.04)57.18% (7.037 7.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-1.676 -1.68)33.61% (1.676 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (-1.872 -1.87)70.26% (1.872 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 45.57%
    Wrexham 28.27%
    Draw 26.16%
StevenageDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 11.4% (1.38 1.38)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.935 -0.94)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.638 -0.64)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.647 -0.65)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.628 -0.63)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.484 -0.48)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.99 0.99)
0-0 @ 7.82% (1.829 1.83)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.523 -0.52)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.53% (1.688 1.69)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.745 0.75)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Wrexham

Stevenage
15.6%
Draw
11.1%
Wrexham
73.3%
45
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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