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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Wrexham |
45.57% ( -4.23) | 26.16% ( 1.95) | 28.27% ( 2.28) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( -4.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.86% ( -6.55) | 53.14% ( 6.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.28% ( -5.85) | 74.71% ( 5.86) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.74% ( -4.51) | 23.26% ( 4.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.81% ( -7.04) | 57.18% ( 7.04) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.38% ( -1.68) | 33.61% ( 1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.74% ( -1.87) | 70.26% ( 1.87) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 1.38) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.94) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.64) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.65) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.63) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.48) Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.99) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 1.83) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.52) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 1.69) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
17 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 7 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |