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AFC Wimbledon
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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Chislett (60')
Biler (34'), Kalambayi (49'), Pell (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simmonds (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Grimsby Town

 Grimsby are bound to win in League Two sooner rather than later, and they showed their prowess on the road once again last weekend by stunning Cambridge in the FA Cup. Wimbledon have been on a strong run recently, but we have a sneaky feeling their unbeaten run may be coming to an end on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
35.17% (1.561 1.56) 27.34% (0.25 0.25) 37.5% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 49.78% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.785 -0.79)55.77% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.644 -0.64)76.9% (0.655 0.66)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.617 0.62)30.16% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.729 0.73)66.3% (-0.72 -0.72)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-1.413 -1.41)28.73% (1.422 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (-1.798 -1.8)64.56% (1.808 1.81)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 35.16%
    Grimsby Town 37.49%
    Draw 27.34%
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.477 0.48)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.188 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.387 0.39)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.16%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.263 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.49%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
66.7%
Draw
6.7%
Grimsby Town
26.7%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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