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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Grimsby Town |
35.17% ( 1.56) | 27.34% ( 0.25) | 37.5% ( -1.8) |
Both teams to score 49.78% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.23% ( -0.79) | 55.77% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.1% ( -0.64) | 76.9% ( 0.66) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.85% ( 0.62) | 30.16% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.7% ( 0.73) | 66.3% ( -0.72) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( -1.41) | 28.73% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.44% ( -1.8) | 64.56% ( 1.81) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.16% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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