FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
AFC Wimbledon3 - 1Weymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salford City 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Weymouth
Weymouth were impressive when the two sides met last time out, but we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a home victory in this match due to AFC Wimbledon's superior quality across the pitch. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Weymouth |
59.93% ( 0.34) | 21.28% ( -0.15) | 18.78% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
