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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
53.61% ( -0.11) | 25.46% ( -0.04) | 20.92% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 45.87% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.81% ( 0.27) | 56.19% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.75% ( 0.22) | 77.24% ( -0.22) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% ( 0.06) | 20.99% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.23% ( 0.1) | 53.76% ( -0.1) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.06% ( 0.31) | 41.94% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.62% ( 0.27) | 78.38% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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