EFL Trophy | Second Round

Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Sutton

Hudlin (17')
Hudlin (61'), Biler (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bugiel (56')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between AFC Wimbledon and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Sutton United

Playing Wimbledon seems to bring out the best in Sutton United, who are unbeaten in their last four matches against them in all competitions, and we expect the experience of being in so many close encounters at this tournament last season will give the Us an edge on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Sutton United
41.21% ( -0.03)	26.28% ( 0)	32.5% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.58% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.03% (

-0.01)

51.96% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29% (

-0.01)

73.7% (

0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

-0.02)

24.89% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

-0.02)

59.51% (

0.02)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01% (

0.01)

29.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.9% (

0.02)

66.1% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 41.2%

Sutton United 32.5%

Draw 26.28%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.2%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.5%