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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
AFC Wimbledon

Carlisle
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Guy (45'), Dennis (81')
Mellish (35'), Armer (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Assal (59')
Towler (30'), Brown (67'), Pell (89'), Assal (90+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

Last Six:
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.7% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 26.83% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 25.47% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69% (-0.256 -0.26)57.3% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (-0.206 -0.21)78.14% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)24.06% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.112 -0.11)58.34% (0.111 0.11)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (-0.249 -0.25)38.18% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (-0.239 -0.24)74.94% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 47.69%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.47%
    Draw 26.83%
Carlisle UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.69%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.47%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Carlisle
Robinson (53')

Comley (79')
Gillespie (50')
Aug 22, 2015 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Ibehre (67')
Grainger (71'), Miller (76'), Raynes (92')
Barcham (36')
Osborne (88')
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Carlisle
Akinfenwa (1')
O'Hanlon (16'), Rigg (56'), Amoo (94')
Grainger (71'), Young (87')
Sep 6, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
4-4
AFC Wimbledon
Dempsey (13', 45'), Gillies (52'), Potts (70')
O'Hanlon (41')
Dicker (81')
Rigg (4'), Tubbs (22', 81'), Azeez (93')
Bennett (42'), Nicholson (64')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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