League Two

League Two | Gameweek 3

Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 1
Swindon

Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Northampton Town	2	1	4
9	Carlisle United	2	1	4
10	Doncaster Rovers	2	1	4

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Swindon
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Grimsby Town	2	-2	1
19	Swindon Town	2	-3	1
20	Hartlepool United	2	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Swindon Town
22.32% ( 0.08)	25.47% ( -0.3)	52.21% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 47.56% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13% (

1.16)

54.88% (

-1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.83% (

0.95)

76.17% (

-0.95)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24% (

0.74)

39.76% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57% (

0.68)

76.43% (

-0.67)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

0.57)

21.04% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16% (

0.87)

53.84% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 22.32%

Swindon Town 52.21%

Draw 25.47%

Carlisle United	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.32%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 10.16% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.21%