League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Stevenage2 - 1Carlisle
Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and Carlisle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Northampton Town | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Barrow | 4 | 2 | 9 |
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Carlisle United | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | -1 | 5 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Carlisle United |
39.99% ( 0.54) | 27.7% ( 0.16) | 32.31% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
