League Two | 2nd Leg
May 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale win 6-5 on penalties
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.55% . A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 26% .
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.31%) . The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result Port Vale Draw Swindon Town 37.55% ( 0.37) 26.05% ( -0.72) 36.4% ( 0.36)
Both teams to score 54.06% ( 2.41)
49.61% ( 3.06) 50.39% ( -3.05)
27.67% ( 2.65) 72.32% ( -2.64)
73.85% ( 1.65) 26.14% ( -1.64)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.78% ( 2.16) 61.22% ( -2.16)
73.2% ( 1.67) 26.8% ( -1.67)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.91% ( 2.15) 62.09% ( -2.15)
Port Vale 37.55%
Swindon Town 36.4%
Draw 26.04%
Port Vale Draw Swindon Town 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.73) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.55% 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.91) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.71) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.13% Total : 36.4%
How you voted: Port Vale vs Swindon
Port Vale
Draw
Swindon Town
59
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 23:15:50
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