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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Walsall |
36.3% ( -0.11) | 29.19% ( 0.01) | 34.52% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 44.32% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.52% ( -0.05) | 62.48% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.91% ( -0.04) | 82.09% ( 0.03) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( -0.1) | 32.83% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.6% ( -0.11) | 69.4% ( 0.1) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.99% ( 0.04) | 34.01% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.31% ( 0.04) | 70.69% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.29% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.18% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |