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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Colchester United

Hartlepool
1 - 2
Colchester

Sterry (82')
Pruti (13'), Featherstone (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kelleher (5'), Sterry (87' og.)
Tchamadeu (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Salford City
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 2-1 Colchester United

Although it was not so long ago when Colchester were on a winning streak, that has now changed. Hartlepool's last two defeats have come to form teams, and we feel that they may be able to battle their way to a narrow success in front of their own supporters this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawColchester United
31.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 28.81% (0.0030000000000001 0) 39.37% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.92% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.46% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)61.54% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.6% (-0.012 -0.01)81.39% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (-0.02 -0.02)72.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 31.82%
    Colchester United 39.37%
    Draw 28.81%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.81%
0-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 7.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.37%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Colchester

Hartlepool United
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
Hartlepool
0-2
Colchester

Hull (90+2')
Akinde (9'), Cooper (53')
Smith (79')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Colchester
1-2
Hartlepool
Chilvers (22')
Chilvers (50'), Edwards (90')
Bogle (70'), Fletcher (74')
Byrne (66'), Fletcher (74')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Colchester
2-1
Hartlepool
Guthrie (63'), Porter (78' pen.)
Dickenson (29'), Wright (85')
Thomas (82')
Woods (57')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2411763428640
4Salford City2311662819939
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe2310942921839
6Port Vale2410862724338
7Notts County23107636261037
8Grimsby Town24121113537-237
9Bradford CityBradford239863026435
10Chesterfield249783829934
11Bromley2381053426834
12MK Dons2210483630634
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow237792324-128
16Colchester UnitedColchester2351262826227
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Swindon TownSwindon2459103139-824
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257103040-1022
21Tranmere RoversTranmere2257101632-1622
22Harrogate TownHarrogate2464141937-1822
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2346131937-1818


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