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Championship header 2

League Two
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Colchester United

Hartlepool
1 - 2
Colchester

Sterry (82')
Pruti (13'), Featherstone (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kelleher (5'), Sterry (87' og.)
Tchamadeu (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Salford City
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 2-1 Colchester United

 Although it was not so long ago when Colchester were on a winning streak, that has now changed. Hartlepool's last two defeats have come to form teams, and we feel that they may be able to battle their way to a narrow success in front of their own supporters this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawColchester United
31.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 28.81% (0.0030000000000001 0) 39.37% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.92% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.46% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)61.54% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.6% (-0.012 -0.01)81.39% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (-0.02 -0.02)72.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 31.82%
    Colchester United 39.37%
    Draw 28.81%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.81%
0-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 7.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.37%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Colchester

Hartlepool United
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Hartlepool
Lubala (90+4')
Marshall-Miranda (8'), Longstaff (71')
McDonald (29')
Tumilty (54'), Crawford (72'), Paterson (83')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Hartlepool
0-2
Colchester

Hull (90+2')
Akinde (9'), Cooper (53')
Smith (79')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Colchester
1-2
Hartlepool
Chilvers (22')
Chilvers (50'), Edwards (90')
Bogle (70'), Fletcher (74')
Byrne (66'), Fletcher (74')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Colchester
2-1
Hartlepool
Guthrie (63'), Porter (78' pen.)
Dickenson (29'), Wright (85')
Thomas (82')
Woods (57')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Colchester
Paynter (27' pen.)
Eastman (4')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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