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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
31.83% | 26.61% | 41.56% |
Both teams to score 51.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.52% | 53.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25% | 75% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% | 31.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% | 67.54% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% | 25.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.79% | 60.21% |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |