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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
61.5% | 22.37% | 16.14% |
Both teams to score 46.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.12% | 50.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.24% | 72.76% |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.93% | 16.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.54% | 45.46% |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.53% | 44.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.5% | 80.5% |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 5.9% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.39% 5-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.93% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.79% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |