Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
