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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
1 - 4
Newport

Thomson (78')
Falkingham (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Evans (31' pen.), Zanzala (33', 52'), Palmer-Houlden (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Newport County

Harrogate Town and Newport County have suffered a drop-off in form of late and will head into Tuesday's clash in search of a morale-boosting result. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, we fancy Weaver's men to secure a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
39.73% (3.327 3.33) 24.8% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 35.47% (-3.291 -3.29)
Both teams to score 58.31% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (0.067 0.07)44.88% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (0.066000000000003 0.07)67.23% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (1.761 1.76)22.5% (-1.762 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (2.561 2.56)56.07% (-2.561 -2.56)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-1.73 -1.73)24.75% (1.73 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (-2.479 -2.48)59.31% (2.478 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 39.73%
    Newport County 35.47%
    Draw 24.8%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.423 0.42)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.397 0.4)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.594 0.59)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.418 0.42)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.436 0.44)
3-2 @ 3% (0.151 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.229 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.212 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.435 -0.43)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.427 -0.43)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.596 -0.6)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.409 -0.41)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.423 -0.42)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.47%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Newport

Harrogate Town
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Newport County
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Newport
1-2
Harrogate
Evans (58')
Wildig (65'), Delaney (69')
Thomson (42'), O'Connor (52')
Ramsay (74'), Sivi (90+2')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
2-3
Harrogate
Bogle (3', 79')
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Harrogate
2-2
Newport
Muldoon (34'), Armstrong (43')
Bennett (3'), Willmott (38')
Demetriou (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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