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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Wrexham AFC

Newport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Palmer-Houlden (34')
Morris (37'), Evans (55'), Charsley (64'), Waite (89'), Townsend (90'), Palmer-Houlden (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Parkinson (19'), McClean (37'), O'Connell (84'), Palmer (90+1')
Boyle (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Newport
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 0-1 Wrexham

 Not since October 7 have Newport fallen short in a League Two home fixture, but the Exiles still possess a tendency to ship goals at Rodney Parade - conceding in 11 of their 13 such matches so far - and FA Cup tiredness may also come into play for the hosts. Wrexham's shortcomings on the road - especially offensively - means that Newport should still give the title-chasers a good run for their money, and only one goal may separate the two sides on Saturday, but Parkinson's team should be the ones to score it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawWrexham
36.11% (-0.299 -0.3) 25.22% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08) 38.66% (0.38 0.38)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.345 0.34)46.74% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.322 0.32)69% (-0.325 -0.33)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)25.25% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.354 0.35)23.87% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.506 0.51)58.07% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.11%
    Wrexham 38.66%
    Draw 25.22%
Newport CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.66%

How you voted: Newport vs Wrexham

Newport County
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Wrexham
55.6%
18
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Wrexham
2-0
Newport
Jones (64'), Lee (87')

Wildig (9')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Newport
4-0
Wrexham
Amond (49'), Matt (59'), Carrington (65' og.), Butler (90')
Butler (16'), Pipe (56')

Pearson (16'), Lainton (16'), Fondop-Talom (81')
Young (12')
Dec 1, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Wrexham
0-0
Newport
Walker (65')
Sheehan (39'), O'Brien (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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