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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Wrexham AFC

Newport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Palmer-Houlden (34')
Morris (37'), Evans (55'), Charsley (64'), Waite (89'), Townsend (90'), Palmer-Houlden (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Parkinson (19'), McClean (37'), O'Connell (84'), Palmer (90+1')
Boyle (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Newport
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 0-1 Wrexham

 Not since October 7 have Newport fallen short in a League Two home fixture, but the Exiles still possess a tendency to ship goals at Rodney Parade - conceding in 11 of their 13 such matches so far - and FA Cup tiredness may also come into play for the hosts. Wrexham's shortcomings on the road - especially offensively - means that Newport should still give the title-chasers a good run for their money, and only one goal may separate the two sides on Saturday, but Parkinson's team should be the ones to score it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawWrexham
36.11% (-0.299 -0.3) 25.22% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08) 38.66% (0.38 0.38)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.345 0.34)46.74% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.322 0.32)69% (-0.325 -0.33)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)25.25% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.354 0.35)23.87% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.506 0.51)58.07% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.11%
    Wrexham 38.66%
    Draw 25.22%
Newport CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.66%

How you voted: Newport vs Wrexham

Newport County
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Wrexham
55.6%
18
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Wrexham
2-0
Newport
Jones (64'), Lee (87')

Wildig (9')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Newport
4-0
Wrexham
Amond (49'), Matt (59'), Carrington (65' og.), Butler (90')
Butler (16'), Pipe (56')

Pearson (16'), Lainton (16'), Fondop-Talom (81')
Young (12')
Dec 1, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Wrexham
0-0
Newport
Walker (65')
Sheehan (39'), O'Brien (86')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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