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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Wrexham |
36.11% ( -0.3) | 25.22% ( -0.08) | 38.66% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.26% ( 0.34) | 46.74% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% ( 0.32) | 69% ( -0.33) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.74% ( -0.01) | 25.25% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.99% ( -0.01) | 60.01% ( 0.01) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( 0.35) | 23.87% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% ( 0.51) | 58.07% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.11% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 38.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |