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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Gillingham |
40.18% ( -0.16) | 29.29% ( -0.01) | 30.53% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 43.26% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.6% ( 0.08) | 63.39% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.25% ( 0.06) | 82.75% ( -0.06) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% ( -0.05) | 30.9% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.81% ( -0.06) | 67.19% ( 0.06) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% ( 0.17) | 37.38% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.83% ( 0.17) | 74.17% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |