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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Swindon Town | 8 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Sutton United | 8 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Carlisle United | 7 | 1 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
22 | Gillingham | 8 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Hartlepool United | 8 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Rochdale | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
59.55% ( 0.56) | 23.9% ( -0.17) | 16.55% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 43.2% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.05% ( 0.05) | 55.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.95% ( 0.05) | 77.04% ( -0.05) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.42% ( 0.23) | 18.58% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.15% ( 0.38) | 49.85% ( -0.38) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.05% ( -0.47) | 46.95% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.55% ( -0.36) | 82.45% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 14.68% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 59.55% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.54% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |