Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.