Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.