Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.