Newport

2 - 1

Port Vale

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.