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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
39.68% | 26.72% | 33.59% |
Both teams to score 51.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.49% | 53.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.97% | 75.03% |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% | 26.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.42% | 61.58% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% | 30.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.84% | 66.16% |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.68% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |