Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%).