Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.