Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
