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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
40.59% ( 0) | 25.65% | 33.76% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.02% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% ( -0) | 48.99% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% ( 0) | 71.07% ( -0) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% | 23.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( 0) | 58.09% ( -0) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.29% ( -0) | 27.71% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% ( -0) | 63.28% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |