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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
55.89% ( -0.43) | 23.25% ( 0.17) | 20.86% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 52.26% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( -0.38) | 47.67% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% ( -0.35) | 69.86% ( 0.35) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.12% ( -0.28) | 16.88% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.09% ( -0.51) | 46.91% ( 0.51) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.87% ( 0.05) | 37.13% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.08% ( 0.05) | 73.92% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 55.88% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |