Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.63%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.