Stevenage

3 - 1

Scunthorpe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.