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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Forest Green Rovers

Swindon
2 - 1
Forest Green

Barry (15'), Payne (40')
Iandolo (36'), Williams (53'), McKirdy (85'), Payne (90+3')
Iandolo (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
March (69')
Godwin-Malife (13'), Adams (59'), March (63'), Young (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Forest Green Rovers

A draw is no good for Swindon as they chase a playoff spot, but they will be the underdogs against the current league leaders. Forest Green are still bidding to finish first, meanwhile, and we are expecting the two teams to play out a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
29.91%25.5%44.59%
Both teams to score 53.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35%49.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33%71.67%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41%30.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17%66.82%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77%22.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34%55.66%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 29.91%
    Forest Green Rovers 44.58%
    Draw 25.5%
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 8.06%
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.91%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 7.69%
1-3 @ 4.56%
0-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 2.7%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.58%

How you voted: Swindon vs Forest Green

Swindon Town
Draw
Forest Green Rovers
Swindon Town
39.5%
Draw
31.6%
Forest Green Rovers
28.9%
38
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 12pm
Forest Green
0-2
Swindon

Sweeney (45+1'), Matt (45+2')
McKirdy (54'), Simpson (81')
McKirdy (66')
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Forest Green
0-1
Swindon

Covil (49')
Broadbent (90+3')
Curran (38')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Swindon
0-2
Forest Green

Doughty (22'), Grant (36')
Stevens (5'), Adams (50')
Dawson (30'), McGinley (73'), (90+3')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Forest Green
2-2
Swindon
Mills (55', 95')
Winchester (76')
Doyle (16', 35')
Baudry (9')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Swindon
2-0
Forest Green
Woolery (36'), Robinson (44')
Koiki (69'), Carroll (83')

Brown (8'), Gunning (25'), Liddle (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale422113859401976
2Bradford CityBradford4221101158391973
3Walsall4220121072512172
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster4220121063481572
5AFC Wimbledon4219121155322369
6Notts County4219111262431968
7Grimsby Town42206165960-166
8Colchester UnitedColchester421617951401165
9Chesterfield4217111465501562
10Salford City421614125448662
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe421516114944561
12Swindon TownSwindon421415136661557
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood421414145756156
14Bromley421414145656056
15BarrowBarrow421510174947255
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham421411175463-953
17Gillingham421214163744-750
18Newport CountyNewport42138215170-1947
19MK Dons42137225166-1546
20Harrogate TownHarrogate421210203554-1946
21Tranmere RoversTranmere421014183961-2244
22Accrington StanleyAccrington421013194966-1743
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle42910233663-2737
24Morecambe42106263762-2536


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