Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newport County | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 12 | Crawley Town | 46 | -10 | 61 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 15 | 58 |
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 34.89% | 26.21% | 38.89% |
| Both teams to score 53.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
