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Colchester United
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Fleetwood Town
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Harrogate Town
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Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Wetherby Road
Swindon Town

Harrogate
1 - 4
Swindon

Armstrong (90+4')
Austerfield (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Barry (24', 30'), Davison (51', 63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Swindon Town

You cannot question the desire or work ethic of Harrogate Town, but unfortunately, it will take more than that to slow down a team with the depth of Swindon, who can count on a variety of attacking threats. Sulphirites have conceded the second-most goals in the league this season (65), which does not bode well when you face a side like the Robins, who have scored the third-most (62). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
33.53%25.82%40.65%
Both teams to score 54.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25%49.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25%71.75%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77%28.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07%63.93%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81%24.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48%58.52%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 33.53%
    Swindon Town 40.65%
    Draw 25.81%
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 5.46%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 33.53%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.83%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 9.69%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 6.88%
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.65%

Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Harrogate
Payne (83' pen.)
Odimayo (90+6'), Iandolo (90+6')
Diamond (24')
Falkingham (66'), Page (75'), Hall (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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