Walsall are capable of making this a tricky run to the finish line for Swindon, but they were taught a footballing lesson by Garner's side a few months ago and have much less on the line than their visitors.
In contrast, Swindon have hit a rich vein of form at the right time, and with no side in the league picking up more points on the road, we expect the Robins to book their spot in the playoffs courtesy of a convincing triumph.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
