Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.