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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Juarez
1 - 2
Guadalajara

Molina (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 4-1 Juarez
Monday, January 23 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-2 Toluca
Sunday, January 22 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
JuarezDrawCD Guadalajara
29.32% (-0.551 -0.55) 28.92% (-0.349 -0.35) 41.75% (0.896 0.9)
Both teams to score 43.75% (0.668 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.43% (0.937 0.94)62.57% (-0.939 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.84% (0.677 0.68)82.15% (-0.681 -0.68)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.13% (0.085999999999999 0.09)37.87% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (0.080000000000002 0.08)74.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.979 0.98)29.58% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (1.179 1.18)65.61% (-1.182 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 29.32%
    CD Guadalajara 41.74%
    Draw 28.91%
JuarezDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 11.2% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 13.64% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.154 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.079 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 1% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 41.74%

Head to Head
Jul 2, 2022 11pm
Guadalajara
0-0
Juarez

Zaldivar (4'), Mozo (84'), Beltran (90+2')

Garcia (90+3')
Feb 10, 2022 1am
Juarez
1-3
Guadalajara
Arce (10')
Olivera (49'), Arce (74')
Arribas (44' og.), Vega (82'), Angulo (86')
Sepulveda (34')
Sepulveda (52')
Aug 7, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
2-2
Juarez
Zaldivar (15'), Godinez (89')
Fernandez (10' pen., 51')
Fernandez (66'), Garcia (69')
Jan 31, 2021 1am
Guadalajara
1-2
Juarez
Macias (77')
Lezcano (10'), Garcia (29')
Santos (32'), Garcia (52'), Velazquez (54'), Palos (64')
Aug 13, 2020 1am
Juarez
0-2
Guadalajara

Romo (52'), Lopez (81')
Macias (56' pen.), Angulo (65')
Sanchez (42'), Mier (66'), Vega (74'), Villalpando (86')
Vega (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul108112381525
2TolucaToluca1063121101121
3Tigres10631146821
4MonterreyMonterrey116321513221
5PumasPumas106131410419
6Atletico San Luis115241813517
7Club TijuanaTijuana105231516-117
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa10343138513
11Club AmericaAmerica104151212013
12PueblaPuebla113261419-511
13PachucaPachuca102351017-79
14Club Leon101541016-68
15Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
16QueretaroQueretaro11227718-118
17MazatlanMazatlan10145611-57
18Juarez102171223-117


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