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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 2
Toluca

Huerta (31' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzalez (60'), Ruiz (84')
Baeza (36')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 2-2 America
Sunday, January 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
57.18% (-0.101 -0.1) 23.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 19.44% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (0.122 0.12)49.97% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.108 0.11)71.95% (-0.111 -0.11)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)47.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (0.178 0.18)39.95% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (0.162 0.16)76.6% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 57.18%
    Toluca 19.44%
    Draw 23.37%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 57.18%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.44%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 11.30pm
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Fernandez (90+7')
Huerta (19'), Gonzalez (35'), Castaneda (90+5')
Juan Macias (68')
Olivas (17'), Brizuela (29'), Juan Macias (90+1')
Cisneros (24')
Oct 17, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
2-0
Toluca
Huerta (45+6'), Cisneros (90+5')
Sepulveda (49'), Cisneros (55'), Huerta (57'), Uriel (77')

Baeza (41'), Sambueza (44')
Jan 16, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
1-1
Toluca
Molina (23')
Sanchez (51')
Castaneda (25')
Triverio (66'), Rigonato Rodrigues (76'), Torres (79')
Aug 23, 2020 11.30pm
Toluca
1-0
Guadalajara
Gonzalez (60')
Sambueza (61'), da Silva (69'), Mora (75')

Molina (89'), Maduena (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul108112381525
2TolucaToluca1063121101121
3Tigres10631146821
4MonterreyMonterrey116321513221
5PumasPumas106131410419
6Atletico San Luis115241813517
7Club TijuanaTijuana105231516-117
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa10343138513
11Club AmericaAmerica104151212013
12PueblaPuebla113261419-511
13PachucaPachuca102351017-79
14Club Leon101541016-68
15Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
16QueretaroQueretaro11227718-118
17MazatlanMazatlan10145611-57
18Juarez102171223-117


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