Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.