Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.